TCS-Citi Deal: Foreshadowing the 2009 Games

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Today's blog comes from Peter Allen, Partner and Managing Director, TPI

The acquisition by TCS of Citigroup's captive BPO operations feels to us like the latest in what's becoming a series of industry restructurings.  It also sets the tone for what's likely to become the agenda in 2009 for the financial services industry and certain outsourcing service providers.

Following on from the Aviva-WNS transaction, although that deal occurred moderately in advance of the current meltdown in the global financial services markets, the TCS-Citi transaction represents a strategy to fundamentally restructure and realign certain assets. These assets maintain essential operations for the likely survivors of the turmoil in today's market. Their realignments will touch many balance sheets, especially in the case of Citi, as it reinvents itself through acquisitions and adjustments to its market offerings, and TCS which has a strong cash position and relatively little debt.

The service provider universe will certainly grow through creative combinations such as defined in this deal - an asset purchase with a companion, long-term, services agreement.  This transaction comprises a 9.5 year commitment by Citi to buy services from TCS, which represents a $2.5 billion "mega-deal".  So, Citi is making a significant commitment to the ongoing viability of the offshore FSO market as well as a restructuring of its cost profile.  

But not all of the service providers can marshal the financial resources to implement such a deal.  With tightening access to scarce capital, it will be those providers who carry little debt and lots of cash that are in the prime position to step up to such an arrangement.

Service providers will be making decisions based on the likely long-term viability of their prospective clients such as  the financial services firms that are selling their operations.  No one wants to take over someone's back-office operations only to have those assets stranded when the client meets an untimely demise.

The signs of survival among the strongest players on both the buy-side and provider-side of outsourcing are there for 2009.  Don't look for the weaker players to participate in the games though.

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